Magic number 6’ LG, simulation results show 100% victory

LG, the leader in professional baseball, reached the 80-win milestone and reduced its magic number for winning to 6.

LG defeated second-place KT in a professional baseball home game (double header) held at Jamsil Stadium in Seoul on the 27th.

LG, which won 4-0 in the first game, won 3-0 in the second game and recorded a season record of 80 wins, 2 draws, and 48 losses (winning rate of 0.625).

It has been 29 years since LG became the first professional baseball team to record 80 wins in a season since 1994, when it won the pennant race and Korean Series championship at the same time.

In the history of professional baseball, only one team, SK (now SSG) in 2019, was the first team to reach 80 wins in a season but fail to win the regular season.

At the time, SK had maintained first place since May 30, but on the final day of the season, Doosan tied with 88 wins, 1 draw, and 55 losses (winning percentage 0.615), and was pushed back to 7 wins and 9 losses against the team, and had to give up the regular league championship.

Coincidentally, the SK head coach at the time was Yeom Kyung-yeop, who is currently leading LG.

However, the probability that Coach Yeom will make the same mistake at LG this year is close to zero.

At that time, as of August 31, when SK recorded 80 wins (1 draw, 45 losses), it had to win 16 of the remaining 18 games (88.9%) to secure the championship on its own.

On the other hand, this year, if LG wins only 6 of the remaining 14 games (42.9%), the rankings cannot be overturned even if KT (10 games) and NC (16 games) win all future games.

In fact, psodds.com, which predicts the final rankings of the season through Monte Carlo simulation, updated LG’s probability of advancing directly to this year’s Korean Series to 100%.

In 2019, even when SK recorded its 80th win of the season, the probability of going directly to the Korean Series remained at 81.8%.

Coach Yeom said after the game, “These were the two most important games today, and I would like to praise our players for their concentration.”

On this day, double headers were held in Munhak, Changwon, and Daejeon.

In Munhak, where 5th place SSG faced 4th place Doosan, the first game ended in a 7-7 draw and the second game ended with SSG’s 6-3 win.

SSG was trailing 6-7 with 2 outs in the bottom of the 9th inning of Game 1, but Han Yu-seom (34) hit a 1-run home run to tie the game, and they were able to end the day undefeated.

SSG closing pitcher Seo Jin-yong (31) added a save in the second game, becoming the 10,000th saver in professional baseball history.

In Changwon, the home team NC first won 7-0 in the first game, and then KIA won 6-1 in the second game.

NC Koo Chang-mo (27), who was left off the final roster of the Hangzhou Asian Games due to an injury, took the mound as the team’s second pitcher in the first game, but felt pain while pitching in the top of the 8th inning and left the mound, and was eventually diagnosed with a recurrence of the injury.

On the other hand, KIA Lee Ui-ri (21), who was also unable to go to the Hangzhou Asian Games due to a blister, became the starting pitcher in the second game and recorded 3 hits and no runs in 7 innings, earning her 11th win of the season.메이저사이트

In Daejeon, visiting team Samsung first won 11-3 in the first game, and then Hanwha recorded a 4-0 win in the second game.

▽Starting pitchers on the 28th
△Jamsil: Samsung Choi Chae-heung-LG Lee Jeong-yong △Resignation: Hanwha Sanchez-Lotte Barnes △Changwon: KIA Panoni-NC Choi Seong-young △Gocheok: SSG Oh Won-seok-Kiwoom Hurado

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